Monte Carlo Chess

MCC, a UCT based Chess engine, was created in order to test the performance of Monte-Carlo Tree Search for the game of Chess. Mainly by modifications that increase the accuracy of the simulation strategy, the performance of the base implementation was improved by approximately 864 Elo. MCC performed still too bad to compete with Minimax based chess programs or to seriously suffer from search traps

Expected Information Maximization: Using the I-Projection for Mixture Density Estimation

Modelling highly multi-modal data is a challenging problem in machine learning. Most algorithms are based on maximizing the likelihood, which corresponds to the M(oment)-projection of the data distribution to the model distribution. The M-projection forces the model to average over modes it cannot represent. In contrast, the I(nformation)-projection ignores such modes in the data and concentrates on the modes the model can represent. Such behavior is appealing whenever we deal with highly multi-modal data where modelling single modes correctly is more important than covering all the modes. Despite this advantage, the I-projection is rarely used in practice due to the lack of algorithms that can efficiently optimize it based on data. In this work, we present a new algorithm called Expected Information Maximization (EIM) for computing the I-projection solely based on samples for general latent variable models, where we focus on Gaussian mixtures models and Gaussian mixtures of experts. Our approach applies a variational upper bound to the I-projection objective which decomposes the original objective into single objectives for each mixture component as well as for the coefficients, allowing an efficient optimization. Similar to GANs, our approach employs discriminators but uses a more stable optimization procedure, using a tight upper bound. We show that our algorithm is much more effective in computing the I-projection than recent GAN approaches and we illustrate the effectiveness of our approach for modelling multi-modal behavior on two pedestrian and traffic prediction datasets

Assisted Teleoperation in Changing Environments with a Mixture of Virtual Guides

Haptic guidance is a powerful technique to combine the strengths of humans and autonomous systems for teleoperation. The autonomous system can provide haptic cues to enable the operator to perform precise movements; the operator can interfere with the plan of the autonomous system leveraging his/her superior cognitive capabilities. However, providing haptic cues such that the individual strengths are not impaired is challenging because low forces provide little guidance, whereas strong forces can hinder the operator in realizing his/her plan. Based on variational inference, we learn a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) over trajectories to accomplish a given task. The learned GMM is used to construct a potential field which determines the haptic cues. The potential field smoothly changes during teleoperation based on our updated belief over the plans and their respective phases. Furthermore, new plans are learned online when the operator does not follow any of the proposed plans, or after changes in the environment. User studies confirm that our framework helps users perform teleoperation tasks more accurately than without haptic cues and, in some cases, faster. Moreover, we demonstrate the use of our framework to help a subject teleoperate a 7 DoF manipulator in a pick-and-place task.Comment: 19 pages, 9 figure

State-regularized policy search for linearized dynamical systems

Trajectory-Centric Reinforcement Learning and Trajectory Optimization methods optimize a sequence of feedbackcontrollers by taking advantage of local approximations of model dynamics and cost functions. Stability of the policy update is a major issue for these methods, rendering them hard to apply for highly nonlinear systems. Recent approaches combine classical Stochastic Optimal Control methods with information-theoretic bounds to control the step-size of the policy update and could even be used to train nonlinear deep control policies. These methods bound the relative entropy between the new and the old policy to ensure a stable policy update. However, despite the bound in policy space, the state distributions of two consecutive policies can still differ significantly, rendering the used local approximate models invalid. To alleviate this issue we propose enforcing a relative entropy constraint not only on the policy update, but also on the update of the state distribution, around which the dynamics and cost are being approximated. We present a derivation of the closed-form policy update and show that our approach outperforms related methods on two nonlinear and highly dynamic simulated systems

Probabilistic approach to physical object disentangling

Physically disentangling entangled objects from each other is a problem encountered in waste segregation or in any task that requires disassembly of structures. Often there are no object models, and, especially with cluttered irregularly shaped objects, the robot can not create a model of the scene due to occlusion. One of our key insights is that based on previous sensory input we are only interested in moving an object out of the disentanglement around obstacles. That is, we only need to know where the robot can successfully move in order to plan the disentangling. Due to the uncertainty we integrate information about blocked movements into a probability map. The map defines the probability of the robot successfully moving to a specific configuration. Using as cost the failure probability of a sequence of movements we can then plan and execute disentangling iteratively. Since our approach circumvents only previously encountered obstacles, new movements will yield information about unknown obstacles that block movement until the robot has learned to circumvent all obstacles and disentangling succeeds. In the experiments, we use a special probabilistic version of the Rapidly exploring Random Tree (RRT) algorithm for planning and demonstrate successful disentanglement of objects both in 2-D and 3-D simulation, and, on a KUKA LBR 7-DOF robot. Moreover, our approach outperforms baseline methods

Expected Information Maximization: Using the I-Projection for Mixture Density Estimation

Modelling highly multi-modal data is a challenging problem in machine learning. Most algorithms are based on maximizing the likelihood, which corresponds to the M(oment)-projection of the data distribution to the model distribution. The M-projection forces the model to average over modes it cannot represent. In contrast, the I(nformation)-projection ignores such modes in the data and concentrates on the modes the model can represent. Such behavior is appealing whenever we deal with highly multi-modal data where modelling single modes correctly is more important than covering all the modes. Despite this advantage, the I-projection is rarely used in practice due to the lack of algorithms that can efficiently optimize it based on data. In this work, we present a new algorithm called Expected Information Maximization (EIM) for computing the I-projection solely based on samples for general latent variable models, where we focus on Gaussian mixtures models and Gaussian mixtures of experts. Our approach applies a variational upper bound to the I-projection objective which decomposes the original objective into single objectives for each mixture component as well as for the coefficients, allowing an efficient optimization. Similar to GANs, our approach employs discriminators but uses a more stable optimization procedure, using a tight upper bound. We show that our algorithm is much more effective in computing the I-projection than recent GAN approaches and we illustrate the effectiveness of our approach for modelling multi-modal behavior on two pedestrian and traffic prediction datasets

Trust-Region Variational Inference with Gaussian Mixture Models

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference. Learning sufficiently accurate approximations requires a rich model family and careful exploration of the relevant modes of the target distribution. We propose a method for learning accurate GMM approximations of intractable probability distributions based on insights from policy search by using information-geometric trust regions for principled exploration. For efficient improvement of the GMM approximation, we derive a lower bound on the corresponding optimization objective enabling us to update the components independently. Our use of the lower bound ensures convergence to a stationary point of the original objective. The number of components is adapted online by adding new components in promising regions and by deleting components with negligible weight. We demonstrate on several domains that we can learn approximations of complex, multimodal distributions with a quality that is unmet by previous variational inference methods, and that the GMM approximation can be used for drawing samples that are on par with samples created by state-of-the-art MCMC samplers while requiring up to three orders of magnitude less computational resources

Optimal Control and Inverse Optimal Control by Distribution Matching

Optimal control is a powerful approach to achieve optimal behavior. However, it typically requires a manual specification of a cost function which often contains several objectives, such as reaching goal positions at different time steps or energy efficiency. Manually trading-off these objectives is often difficult and requires a high engineering effort. In this paper, we present a new approach to specify optimal behavior. We directly specify the desired behavior by a distribution over future states or features of the states. For example, the experimenter could choose to reach certain mean positions with given accuracy/variance at specified time steps. Our approach also unifies optimal control and inverse optimal control in one framework. Given a desired state distribution, we estimate a cost function such that the optimal controller matches the desired distribution. If the desired distribution is estimated from expert demonstrations, our approach performs inverse optimal control. We evaluate our approach on several optimal and inverse optimal control tasks on non-linear systems using incremental linearizations similar to differential dynamic programming approaches

Efficient Gradient-Free Variational Inference using Policy Search

Inference from complex distributions is a common problem in machine learning needed for many Bayesian methods. We propose an efficient, gradient-free method for learning general GMM approximations of multimodal distributions based on recent insights from stochastic search methods. Our method establishes information-geometric trust regions to ensure efficient exploration of the sampling space and stability of the GMM updates, allowing for efficient estimation of multi-variate Gaussian variational distributions. For GMMs, we apply a variational lower bound to decompose the learning objective into sub-problems given by learning the individual mixture components and the coefficients. The number of mixture components is adapted online in order to allow for arbitrary exact approximations. We demonstrate on several domains that we can learn significantly better approximations than competing variational inference methods and that the quality of samples drawn from our approximations is on par with samples created by state-of-the-art MCMC samplers that require significantly more computational resources